Met Office UKV Rainfall Forecast

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No forecast data available.
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Area averages are not published for this frame.

About this data

  • Met Office UKV forecast: Met Office UKV data © British Crown copyright Met Office – CC BY-SA 4.0
  • Model runs: About four runs a day, published as each becomes available. The model is UK Variable resolution on a ~1.5km grid, so it resolves showers and orographic rain the global models smooth away, but over a much smaller area and a much shorter horizon.
  • Deterministic, not a probability: this is a single model solution, so it shows one possible outcome rather than a range. Treat it as guidance on pattern and timing, not as a forecast of exact totals at a place.
  • Comparing models: all seven render to the same map extent with the same colour scale, so a colour means the same millimetres whichever is selected. Differences you see between them are the models disagreeing, not the maps being drawn differently.
  • Isobars (MSLP): on by default, drawn as pressure lines over the rainfall; switch them off behind the settings button on the controls bar (or on the bar itself, on a wide enough screen). H/L pressure centres are labelled with their central pressure in hPa.
  • Catchment boundaries: National River Flow Archive (2014). NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. doi:10.5285/1957166d.
  • Region / county boundaries: Office for National Statistics (ONS), Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.
  • Europe region and country boundaries: Eurostat GISCO, NUTS 2021, © EuroGeographics for the administrative boundaries. Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Russia, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Kosovo from geoBoundaries (William & Mary geoLab): CC BY 3.0, CC BY 3.0 IGO, ODbL (contains data © OpenStreetMap contributors), CC BY-SA 2.0 or public domain, by country. Regions are merged or split from the source levels so that they are of broadly similar size.
  • Temperature anomaly: the model's 2 m temperature (from its temperature picture) less the normal for that date and hour, both averaged over cells of about 0.7 degrees, so it shows the pattern rather than exact values. The normal is ERA5 hourly climatology for 1990 to 2019 (contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information, via WeatherBench2), set over the UK to the Met Office HadUK-Grid 1991 to 2020 long-term monthly mean temperature (contains Met Office data © Crown copyright, Open Government Licence v3.0, via the CEDA Archive).
  • Basemap: © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO.
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