Met Office UKV Rainfall Forecast

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Run 2
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Run 1 (newest)
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No forecast data available.
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Area averages are not published for this frame.

About this data

  • Met Office UKV forecast: Met Office UKV data © British Crown copyright Met Office – CC BY-SA 4.0
  • Model runs: About four runs a day, published as each becomes available. The model is UK Variable resolution on a ~1.5km grid, so it resolves showers and orographic rain the global models smooth away — over a much smaller area and a much shorter horizon.
  • Deterministic, not a probability: this is a single model solution, so it shows one possible outcome rather than a range. Treat it as guidance on pattern and timing, not as a forecast of exact totals at a place.
  • Comparing models: all four render to the same map extent with the same colour scale, so a colour means the same millimetres whichever is selected. Differences you see between them are the models disagreeing, not the maps being drawn differently.
  • Isobars (MSLP): off by default; switch on in the panel above (or in the bottom bar, on a wide enough screen) to add pressure lines over the rainfall. H/L pressure centres are labelled with their central pressure in hPa.
  • Catchment boundaries: National River Flow Archive (2014). NERC Environmental Information Data Centre. doi:10.5285/1957166d.
  • Region / county boundaries: Office for National Statistics (ONS), Open Government Licence v3.0. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.
  • Basemap: © OpenStreetMap contributors © CARTO.
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